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Could the oil price bust lead to a renewable boom in the Middle East?

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Question ajoutée par Sara Khan , financial and admin assistant , Ministry Of Defence
Date de publication: 2016/03/01

The oil market is a steady market and is predictable depending totally on supply & demand information. If you're talking about renewable as renewable energy, a couple countries in the MENA region already studying but can't be sure. 

Mohammad Ashi CFA CMA
par Mohammad Ashi CFA CMA , Group Finance Manager , QOAD

i think there will be a boom again after 2-3 years from now, but not like before, maybe it will reach 60$ which i think is a fair price for oil

Vinod Jetley
par Vinod Jetley , Assistant General Manager , State Bank of India

The global oil-price bust has devastated economies across the Middle East and North Africa. Having seen severe price declines in the past, many leaders in the region may be tempted to wait for prices to rise again. But this collapse is different, and governments need new energy and development strategies. Morocco’s drive to become a regional renewable-energy powerhouse offers a real option for economic development in other Arab countries.

Morocco has been investing in large-scale renewable-energy projects for some time; but only now are these investments coming online. Perhaps the most impressive is the gigantic Noor-1 solar-energy compound, located in the Moroccan desert near Ouarzazate. Opened on February 4, Noor-1 uses highly advanced technology to store energy for use at night and on cloudy days.

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Considered the largest solar power plant in the world, Noor-1 is expected to produce enough energy for more than a million people, with extra power eventually to be exported to Europe and Africa, according to the World Bank. Given that Morocco imports around 97% of its energy supply, and possesses no oil or natural gas deposits of its own, the government has viewed developing renewable energy as the only way to ensure the country’s continuing economic development. This is an insight others in the region should heed.

The Noor-1 project, covering an area of more than 4.5 square kilometers (1.7 square miles) with 500,000 curved mirrors – some as high as 12 meters – cost around $700 million. But it is intended to be only one part of a huge solar compound extending over 30 square kilometers. Indeed, by 2018, three more plants, Noor-II, Noor-III, and Noor-Midelt will be constructed, using a combination of technologies, including thermosolar and photovoltaic. The project will generate up to 2,000 megawatts daily by 2020, helping to reduce the development gap between urban and rural areas.

Of course, the project has demanded huge sums in investment. Of the $9 billion project’s financing, some $1 billion has come from a German investment bank, $400 million from the World Bank, and $596 million from the European Investment Bank. The rest of the funding has come from Morocco’s government as part of its national development strategy.

In the near future, Morocco will also develop a wind program with a capacity of at least 2,000 MW daily, and a 2,000 MW hydropower project. These could provide the country with 42% of its total electricity production. This represents an unparalleled proportion of renewable energy at both the regional and the international levels.

Already, the Tarfaya Wind Farm, positioned on Morocco’s Southern Atlantic Coast, is Africa’s biggest. With 131 turbines and a daily capacity of more than 300 MW, Tarfaya will help reduce Morocco’s carbon dioxide emissions by 900,000 tons annually, and cut the country’s annual oil import bill by more than $190 million.

Despite this focus on renewables, Morocco has not gone cold turkey on traditional energy sources. Over the next five years, the authorities will set up the infrastructure needed to make liquefied natural gas (LNG) more accessible to domestic industries. This is a huge endeavor, as it also includes a port with an LNG dock and a 400-kilometer pipeline. This remarkable project will cost another $4.5 billion, all of which will come from the private sector.

With demand for electricity, mostly from the country’s expanding industries, rising by 7% annually, Morocco’s government has long known that it could not sit still. Today, 90% of the Moroccan population is connected to the grid, up dramatically from the 1990s, when that figure stood at just 18%. Over this period, the country’s investments in electrification rose to more than $3 billion annually.

Morocco’s government is convinced that reform and development will confirm its emergence as a regional leader and gateway to Africa. Increased access to renewable energy will mean that all companies will have sufficient power to meet their needs, which is essential to the country’s ability to diversify its economy.

Investors are aware of Morocco’s exceptional geographic position and its political stability in a region all too often held back by uncertainty. The country’s giant solar complex and other investments will help boost the country’s energy independence, reduce costs, and expand access to power. Others in Africa and the Middle East should take note.

Ahmed Mohamed Ayesh Sarkhi
par Ahmed Mohamed Ayesh Sarkhi , Shared Services Supervisor , Saudi Musheera Co. Ltd.

full agree with answer given by mr. عبدالرحمن zughaibi 

georgei assi
par georgei assi , مدير حسابات , المجموعة السورية

The drop in oil prices in the Middle East will adversely affect the development of those countries and prosperity of the basic and main oil for the adoption of default in the search for alternatives, while the world is heading to search Rwalaatmad on alternative energy to get rid of the oil complex in the east that the future in the long term will suffer Eastern countries Alaustokhash Gulf deterioration in cash imports and lack of alternative future goods

Shamseer KM
par Shamseer KM , HR Payroll Officer , Al Darwish Engineering W.L.L

Nice Question,

Now i'm looking for Job in Qatar,  I think the Oil Price fluctuation can directly effect the economic situation of GCC countries but now days they are concentrated in more business opportunities to overcome this issue in future.

I have read a great news article talking about the oil and gas market - without prejudice, the UAE has shown that oil only accounts for 30% of their GDP. The leaders this side have actually planned ahead and that is why it will not have a big affect. But to answer your question, I think the most important development that middle east should invest in, is education. By ensuring that the leaders of the future are well educated, all with post and masters degree. This will lead to multiple possibilities of new and renewable markets. 

Mohammad Iqbal Abubaker
par Mohammad Iqbal Abubaker , Jahaca Pty Ltd - Accounts Administrator , Jahaca Pty Ltd - Accounts Administrator

I agree with the answers given by bayt.com friends.

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